Ep 364: Can annual property growth persist at 7% perpetually

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In this insightful episode, Stuart Wemyss addresses a common investor question: Can Australian property values continue growing at 7% per year? He explains how compounding works over time and why adjusting future property values for inflation and income growth makes projections, like an $8 million home in 30 years, more relatable.

Stuart dives into the impact of income distribution, noting that the top 20% of Australians earn nearly half of all disposable income and experience faster wage growth. These high-income earners drive demand for blue-chip, investment-grade property, often located within 2 to 20 km of major CBDs, making such properties more likely to achieve strong long-term growth.

He challenges the idea that Australian property is broadly overvalued by focusing on geographic scarcity, population concentration, and the limitations of regional infrastructure investment. He also outlines several tailwinds that could boost property demand in the coming decade, including lower interest rates, superannuation tax changes, inheritance wealth, and reduced future equity returns.

Whether you're a long-term investor or simply seeking clarity on the sustainability of property price growth, Stuart offers a well-reasoned, practical perspective grounded in evidence and experience. Tune in to gain confidence in your investment decisions and understand the forces shaping Australia’s real estate landscape.

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